Paper's abstract

Emmanuel Keita, Precaution, prevention, risk, chance: building a healthy Trust
The notion of risk is misunderstood. It is intrinsically linked to our perception of what chance is, to the fears and cognitive biases resulting from our individual and collective history. In an increasingly chaotic world, subject to the dictates of time and greedy for emotions, it is dangerous to see numbers and algorithms as new oracles. Accompanying education in discernment, trust is a vital element of governance in the paradigm shift that is taking place. For if prevention is beneficial, precaution, established as a principle, opens the way to obscurantism. Familiar with the figures and uses of the information system, we propose in a first section some elements to understand that what counts above all in governance is what we wish to see happen. A second section is an opportunity to touch the limits of figures and common sense through an educational example on the questioning of systematic screening, which for a time stirred the debates during the management of the Covid19 pandemic in France at the beginning of this year.

Key Words : Trust - education - governance - Bayes
t. 62, 2020 : p.71-81

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